President of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, excludes more than Athens could leave the euro. "Our preference is that Greece continues to remain in the euro area," he said Wednesday at a conference in Frankfurt. This is a recognition that an outflow was no longer taboo. "Since the Treaty (establishing the single currency) is silent on an output, this is not the ECB decides," he added, recalling the legal vacuum in this area often referred, including the experts themselves same.
This statement confirms the remarks made Monday by Luc Coene, one of six members of the ECB Executive Board, responsible for economic analysis, which spoke of "an amicable divorce," in an interview with Financial Times.
These words, at least ambiguous and seem to add fuel to the fire, also reflect the embarrassment of the authorities in Frankfurt. They face de facto capital flight experienced by Greek banks. The phenomenon is not really new but it has accelerated in recent days further weakening the Greek banking system.
Emergency stop
To date, commercial banks do so more than the cash they receive from the ECB, which totaled nearly $ 100 billion or one third of their balance sheets, a level quite abnormal. According to market sources for Reuters, the ECB has started its lending quotas to Greek banks. She no longer accept to take title they give him as collateral. The commercial banks will have no alternative but to use the emergency window established by the Bank of Greece, according to a procedure remains perfectly legal, but that goes against the principle of uniqueness of monetary policy in the euro area.
In doing so, the ECB intends to pressure the Greek government which must recapitalize the banks that need it. At the Cabinet meeting on 27 April, it was envisaged that a recapitalization of € 18 billion would be set up. This is an emergency measure pending the recapitalization program released a wider 50 billion euro, and whose envelopes are explicitly included in the second rescue package announced last March. The technical details are currently in discussions with European experts and the IMF.
The ECB seems caught in the crossfire. While recalling officially Wednesday that it continued "to support Greek banks," the president about his aim to put pressure on the government and the public pending elections to be referendums value vis-à-vis of the euro.
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